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Glass’s outlines new car market prediction for 2018

New car registrations could see a 4% decline in 2018 as the uncertainty surrounding Brexit negotiations and the spectre of further interest rate hikes weigh heavily on the market.

Car remarketing

Market developments are seeing the used car sector become ‘king’, according to Glass’s.

That’s the prediction from Glass’s in its Monthly Market Report for January.

Looking to the first quarter, the car data specialist noted that monthly year-on-year contractions are expected to be more pronounced, given the higher base of registrations in the first quarter of 2017. The firm added that changes to VED rates will take effect from April and could have an effect of pulling demand forward from later in the year, as occurred in 2017, but the changes are less dramatic than in 2017, and so any impact is expected to be comparatively limited.

The prediction follows Glass’s December forecast of a 5.7% decline in UK new car registrations for 2017; tying in exactly with the recent SMMT yearly registration figures.

Glass’s also predicted increased demand for used vehicles as well as supply. Car editor Jonathan Brown said: “We are entering a period where the used car is king, more than the new car. So demand from the trade driven by used vehicles and the profitability from these moves us into a time where values will remain pretty strong.”

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Natalie Middleton

Natalie has worked as a fleet journalist for 16 years, previously as assistant editor on the former Company Car magazine before joining Fleet World in 2006. Prior to this, she worked on a range of B2B titles, including Insurance Age and Insurance Day. As Business Editor, Natalie ensures the group websites and newsletters are updated with the latest news.